analistica/notes/sections/7.md
2020-07-05 11:35:28 +02:00

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Exercise 7

Generating points according to Gaussian distributions

The first task of exercise 7 is to generate two sets of 2D points $(x, y)$ according to two bivariate Gaussian distributions with parameters:


\text{signal} \quad
\begin{cases}
\mu = (0, 0)              \\
\sigma_x = \sigma_y = 0.3 \\
\rho = 0.5
\end{cases}
\et
\text{noise} \quad
\begin{cases}
\mu = (4, 4)              \\
\sigma_x = \sigma_y = 1   \\
\rho = 0.4
\end{cases}

where \mu stands for the mean, \sigma_x and \sigma_y are the standard deviations in x and y directions respectively and \rho is the bivariate correlation, hence:


  \sigma_{xy} = \rho \sigma_x \sigma_y

where \sigma_{xy} is the covariance of x and y.
In the code, default settings are N_s = 800 points for the signal and $N_n = 1000$ points for the noise but can be changed from the command-line. Both samples were handled as matrices of dimension n x 2, where n is the number of points in the sample. The library gsl_matrix provided by GSL was employed for this purpose and the function gsl_ran_bivariate_gaussian() was used for generating the points.
An example of the two samples is shown in @fig:points.

Example of points sorted according to two Gaussian with
the given parameters. Noise points in pink and signal points
in yellow.{#fig:points}

Assuming not to know how the points were generated, a model of classification must then be implemented in order to assign each point to the right class (signal or noise) to which it 'most probably' belongs to. The point is how 'most probably' can be interpreted and implemented.

Fisher linear discriminant

The projection direction

The Fisher linear discriminant (FLD) is a linear classification model based on dimensionality reduction. It allows to reduce this 2D classification problem into a one-dimensional decision surface.

Consider the case of two classes (in this case the signal and the noise): the simplest representation of a linear discriminant is obtained by taking a linear function of a sampled 2D point x so that:


  \hat{x} = w^T x

where w is the so-called 'weight vector'. An input point x is commonly assigned to the first class if \hat{x} \geqslant w_{th} and to the second one otherwise, where w_{th} is a threshold value somehow defined.
In general, the projection onto one dimension leads to a considerable loss of information and classes that are well separated in the original 2D space may become strongly overlapping in one dimension. However, by adjusting the components of the weight vector, a projection that maximizes the classes separation can be selected.
To begin with, consider N_1 points of class C_1 and N_2 points of class C_2, so that the means m_1 and m_2 of the two classes are given by:


  m_1 = \frac{1}{N_1} \sum_{n \in C_1} x_n
  \et
  m_2 = \frac{1}{N_2} \sum_{n \in C_2} x_n

The simplest measure of the separation of the classes is the separation of the projected class means. This suggests to choose w so as to maximize:


  \hat{m}_2  \hat{m}_1 = w^T (m_2  m_1)

This expression can be made arbitrarily large simply by increasing the magnitude of w. To solve this problem, w can be constrained to have unit length, so that | w^2 | = 1. Using a Lagrange multiplier to perform the constrained maximization, it can be found that w \propto (m_2 m_1).

The plot on the left shows samples from two classes along with the histograms
resulting from projection onto the line joining the class means: note that
there is considerable overlap in the projected space. The right plot shows the
corresponding projection based on the Fisher linear discriminant, showing the
greatly improved classes separation.{#fig:overlap}

There is still a problem with this approach, however, as illustrated in @fig:overlap: the two classes are well separated in the original 2D space but have considerable overlap when projected onto the line joining their means.
The idea to solve it is to maximize a function that will give a large separation between the projected classes means while also giving a small variance within each class, thereby minimizing the class overlap.
The within-classes variance of the transformed data of each class k is given by:


  s_k^2 = \sum_{n \in C_k} (\hat{x}_n - \hat{m}_k)^2

The total within-classes variance for the whole data set can be simply defined as s^2 = s_1^2 + s_2^2. The Fisher criterion is therefore defined to be the ratio of the between-classes distance to the within-classes variance and is given by:


  J(w) = \frac{(\hat{m}_2 - \hat{m}_1)^2}{s^2}

Differentiating J(w) with respect to w, it can be found that it is maximized when:


  w = S_b^{-1} (m_2 - m_1)

where S_b is the covariance matrix, given by:


  S_b = S_1 + S_2

where S_1 and S_2 are the covariance matrix of the two classes, namely:


\begin{pmatrix}
\sigma_x^2  & \sigma_{xy} \\
\sigma_{xy} & \sigma_y^2
\end{pmatrix}

This is not truly a discriminant but rather a specific choice of direction for projection of the data down to one dimension: the projected data can then be used to construct a discriminant by choosing a threshold for the classification.

When implemented, the parameters given in @sec:sampling were used to compute the covariance matrices S_1 and S_2 of the two classes and their sum S. Then S, being a symmetrical and positive-definite matrix, was inverted with the Cholesky method, already discussed in @sec:MLM. Lastly, the matrix-vector product was computed with the gsl_blas_dgemv() function provided by GSL.

The threshold

The cut was fixed by the condition of conditional probability being the same for each class:


  t_{\text{cut}} = x \, | \hspace{20pt}
 \frac{P(c_1 | x)}{P(c_2 | x)} = 
 \frac{p(x | c_1) \, p(c_1)}{p(x | c_1) \, p(c_2)} = 1

where p(x | c_k) is the probability for point x along the Fisher projection line of belonging to the class k. If the classes are bivariate Gaussian, as in the present case, then p(x | c_k) is simply given by its projected normal distribution \mathscr{G} (\hat{μ}, \hat{S}). With a bit of math, the solution is then:


  t = \frac{b}{a} + \sqrt{\left( \frac{b}{a} \right)^2 - \frac{c}{a}}

where:

  • a = \hat{S}_1^2 - \hat{S}_2^2
  • b = \hat{m}_2 \, \hat{S}_1^2 - \hat{M}_1 \, \hat{S}_2^2
  • $c = \hat{M}_2^2 , \hat{S}_1^2 - \hat{M}_1^2 , \hat{S}_2^2
    • 2 , \hat{S}_1^2 , \hat{S}_2^2 , \ln(\alpha)$
  • \alpha = p(c_1) / p(c_2)

The ratio of the prior probability \alpha was computed as:


  \alpha = \frac{N_s}{N_n}

The projection of the points was accomplished by the use of the function gsl_blas_ddot(), which computed a dot product between two vectors, which in this case were the weight vector and the position of the point to be projected.

![View from above of the samples.](images/fisher-plane.pdf){height=5.7cm} ![Gaussian of the samples on the projection line.](images/fisher-proj.pdf){height=5.7cm}

Aerial and lateral views of the projection direction, in blue, and the cut, in red.

Results obtained for the same sample in @fig:points are shown in @fig:fisher_proj. The weight vector w was found to be:


  w = (0.707, 0.707)

and t_{\text{cut}} is 1.323 far from the origin of the axes. Hence, as can be seen, the vector w turned out to be parallel to the line joining the means of the two classes (reminded to be (0, 0) and (4, 4)) which means that the total covariance matrix S is isotropic, proportional to the unit matrix.

Perceptron

In machine learning, the perceptron is an algorithm for supervised learning of linear binary classifiers.
Supervised learning is the machine learning task of inferring a function $f$ that maps an input x to an output f(x) based on a set of training input-output pairs. Each example is a pair consisting of an input object and an output value. The inferred function can be used for mapping new examples. The algorithm will be generalized to correctly determine the class labels for unseen instances.

The aim is to determine the bias b such that the threshold function f(x):


  f(x) = x \cdot w + b \hspace{20pt}
  \begin{cases}
    \geqslant 0 \incase x \in \text{signal} \\
    < 0         \incase x \in \text{noise}
  \end{cases}
$$ {#eq:perc}

The training was performed as follow. Initial values were set as $w = (0,0)$ and 
$b = 0$. From  these, the perceptron starts to improve their estimations. The
sample was passed point by point into a reiterative procedure a grand total of
$N_c$ calls: each time, the projection $w \cdot x$ of the point was computed
and then the variable $\Delta$ was defined as:

\Delta = r * (e - \theta (f(x))



where:

  - $r$ is the learning rate of the perceptron: it is between 0 and 1. The
    larger $r$, the more volatile the weight changes. In the code, it was set
    $r = 0.8$;
  - $e$ is the expected value, namely 0 if $x$ is noise and 1 if it is signal;
  - $\theta$ is the Heaviside theta function;
  - $o$ is the observed value of $f(x)$ defined in @eq:perc.

Then $b$ and $w$ must be updated as:

b \to b + \Delta \et w \to w + x \Delta



<div id="fig:percep_proj">
![View from above of the samples.](images/percep-plane.pdf){height=5.7cm}
![Gaussian of the samples on the projection
  line.](images/percep-proj.pdf){height=5.7cm}

Aerial and lateral views of the projection direction, in blue, and the cut, in
red.
</div>

It can be shown that this method converges to the coveted function.  
As stated in the previous section, the weight vector must finally be normalized.

With $N_c = 5$, the values of $w$ and $t_{\text{cut}}$ level off up to the third
digit. The following results were obtained:

w = (0.654, 0.756) \et t_{\text{cut}} = 1.213



where, once again, $t_{\text{cut}}$ is computed from the origin of the axes. In
this case, the projection line does not lies along the mains of the two
samples. Plots in @fig:percep_proj.

## Efficiency test

A program was implemented in order to check the validity of the two
aforementioned methods.  
A number $N_t$ of test samples was generated and the
points were divided into the two classes according to the selected method.
At each iteration, false positives and negatives are recorded using a running
statistics method implemented in the `gsl_rstat` library, being suitable for
handling large datasets for which it is inconvenient to store in memory all at
once.  
For each sample, the numbers $N_{fn}$ and $N_{fp}$ of false positive and false
negative are computed with the following trick: every noise point $x_n$ was
checked this way: the function $f(x_n)$ was computed with the weight vector $w$
and the $t_{\text{cut}}$ given by the employed method, then:
      
  - if $f(x) < 0 \thus$ $N_{fn} \to N_{fn}$
  - if $f(x) > 0 \thus$ $N_{fn} \to N_{fn} + 1$ 

Similarly for the positive points.  
Finally, the mean and the standard deviation were computed from $N_{fn}$ and
$N_{fp}$ obtained for every sample in order to get the mean purity $\alpha$
and efficiency $\beta$ for the employed statistics:

\alpha = 1 - \frac{\text{mean}(N_{fn})}{N_s} \et \beta = 1 - \frac{\text{mean}(N_{fp})}{N_n}



Results for $N_t = 500$ are shown in @tbl:res_comp. As can be observed, the
Fisher method gives a nearly perfect assignment of the points to their belonging
class, with a symmetric distribution of false negative and false positive,
whereas the points perceptron-divided show a little more false-positive than
false-negative, being also more changable from dataset to dataset.  
The reason why this happened lies in the fact that the Fisher linear
discriminant is an exact analitical result, whereas the perceptron is based on
a convergent behaviour which cannot be exactely reached by definition.



-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  $\alpha$       $\sigma_{\alpha}$        $\beta$        $\sigma_{\beta}$
----------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------
Fisher       0.9999              0.33                0.9999              0.33

Perceptron   0.9999              0.28                0.9995              0.64
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table: Results for Fisher and perceptron method. $\sigma_{\alpha}$ and
       $\sigma_{\beta}$ stand for the standard deviation of the false
       negative and false positive respectively. {#tbl:res_comp}