analistica/notes/sections/1.md

227 lines
8.2 KiB
Markdown
Raw Blame History

This file contains ambiguous Unicode characters

This file contains Unicode characters that might be confused with other characters. If you think that this is intentional, you can safely ignore this warning. Use the Escape button to reveal them.

# Exercise 1
## Random numbers following the Landau distribution
The Landau distribution is a probability density function which can be defined
as follows:
$$
f(x) = \int \limits_{0}^{+ \infty} dt \, e^{-t log(t) -xt} \sin (\pi t)
$$
![Landau distribution.](images/landau-small.pdf){width=50%}
The GNU Scientific Library (GSL) provides a number of functions for generating
random variates following tens of probability distributions. Thus, the function
for generating numbers from the Landau distribution, namely `gsl_ran_landau()`,
was used.
For the purpose of visualizing the resulting sample, the data was put into
an histogram and plotted with matplotlib. The result is shown in @fig:landau.
![Example of N points generated with the `gsl_ran_landau()`
function and plotted in a 100-bins histogram ranging from -10 to
80.](images/landau.pdf){#fig:landau}
## Randomness testing of the generated sample
### Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
In order to compare the sample with the Landau distribution, the
Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test was applied. This test statistically quantifies the
distance between the cumulative distribution function of the Landau distribution
and the one of the sample. The null hypothesis is that the sample was
drawn from the reference distribution.
The KS statistic for a given cumulative distribution function $F(x)$ is:
$$
D_N = \text{sup}_x |F_N(x) - F(x)|
$$
where:
- $x$ runs over the sample,
- $F(x)$ is the Landau cumulative distribution and function
- $F_N(x)$ is the empirical cumulative distribution function of the sample.
If $N$ numbers have been generated, for every point $x$,
$F_N(x)$ is simply given by the number of points preceding the point (itself
included) normalized by $N$, once the sample is sorted in ascending order.
$F(x)$ was computed numerically from the Landau distribution with a maximum
relative error of $10^{-6}$, using the function `gsl_integration_qagiu()`,
found in GSL.
Under the null hypothesis, the distribution of $D_N$ is expected to
asymptotically approach a Kolmogorov distribution:
$$
\sqrt{N}D_N \xrightarrow{N \rightarrow + \infty} K
$$
where $K$ is the Kolmogorov variable, with cumulative
distribution function given by:
$$
P(K \leqslant K_0) = 1 - p = \frac{\sqrt{2 \pi}}{K_0}
\sum_{j = 1}^{+ \infty} e^{-(2j - 1)^2 \pi^2 / 8 K_0^2}
$$
Plugging the observed value $\sqrt{N}D_N$ in $K_0$, the $p$-value can be
computed. At 95% confidence level (which is the probability of confirming the
null hypothesis when correct) the compatibility with the Landau distribution
cannot be disproved if $p > α = 0.05$.
To approximate the series, the convergence was accelerated using the Levin
$u$-transform with the `gsl_sum_levin_utrunc_accel()` function. The algorithm
terminates when the difference between two successive extrapolations reaches a
minimum.
For $N = 1000$, the following results were obtained:
- $D = 0.020$
- $p = 0.79$
Hence, the data was reasonably sampled from a Landau distribution.
**Note**:
Contrary to what one would expect, the $\chi^2$ test on a histogram is not very
useful in this case. For the test to be significant, the data has to be binned
such that at least several points fall in each bin. However, it can be seen
(@fig:Landau) that many bins are empty both in the right and left side of the
distribution, so it would be necessary to fit only the region where the points
cluster or use very large bins in the others, making the $\chi^2$ test
unpractical.
### Parameters comparison
When a sample of points is generated in a given range, different tests can be
applied in order to check whether they follow an even distribution or not. The
idea which lies beneath most of them is to measure how far the parameters of
the distribution are from the ones measured in the sample.
The same principle can be used to verify if the generated sample effectively
follows the Landau distribution. Since it turns out to be a very pathological
PDF, only two parameters can be easily checked: the mode and the
full-width-half-maximum (FWHM).
![Landau distribution with emphatized mode and
FWHM = ($x_+ - x_-$).](images/landau.pdf)
\begin{figure}
\hypertarget{fig:parameters}{%
\begin{tikzpicture}[overlay]
\begin{scope}[shift={(0,0.4)}]
% Mode
\draw [thick, dashed] (7.57,3.1) -- (7.57,8.55);
\draw [thick, dashed] (1.9,8.55) -- (7.57,8.55);
\node [above right] at (7.6,3.1) {$m_e$};
\node [below right] at (1.9,8.55) {$f(m_e)$};
% FWHM
\draw [thick, dashed] (1.9,5.95) -- (9.05,5.95);
\draw [thick, dashed] (6.85,5.83) -- (6.85,3.1);
\draw [thick, dashed] (8.95,5.83) -- (8.95,3.1);
\node [below right] at (1.9,5.95) {$\frac{f(m_e)}{2}$};
\node [above right] at (6.85,3.1) {$x_-$};
\node [above right] at (8.95,3.1) {$x_+$};
\end{scope}
\end{tikzpicture}
}
\end{figure}
The mode of a set of data values is defined as the value that appears most
often, namely: it is the maximum of the PDF. Since there is no way to find
an analytic form for the mode of the Landau PDF, it was numerically estimated
through a minimization method (found in GSL, called method 'golden section')
with an arbitrary error of $10^{-2}$, obtaining:
- expected mode $= m_e = \SI{-0.2227830 \pm 0.0000001}{}$
The minimization algorithm begins with a bounded region known to contain a
minimum. The region is described by a lower bound $x_\text{min}$ and an upper
bound $x_\text{max}$, with an estimate of the location of the minimum $x_e$.
The value of the function at $x_e$ must be less than the value of the function
at the ends of the interval, in order to guarantee that a minimum is contained
somewhere within the interval.
$$
f(x_\text{min}) > f(x_e) < f(x_\text{max})
$$
On each iteration the interval is divided in a golden section (using the ratio
($3 - \sqrt{5}/2 \approx 0.3819660$ and the value of the function at this new
point $x'$ is calculated. If the new point is a better estimate of the minimum,
namely is $f(x') < f(x_e)$, then the current estimate of the minimum is
updated.
The new point allows the size of the bounded interval to be reduced, by choosing
the most compact set of points which satisfies the constraint $f(a) > f(x') <
f(b)$ between $f(x_\text{min})$, $f(x_\text{min})$ and $f(x_e)$. The interval is
reduced until it encloses the true minimum to a desired tolerance.
In the sample, on the other hand, once the data were binned, the mode can be
estimated as the central value of the bin with maximum events and the error
is the half width of the bins. In this case, with 40 bins between -20 and 20,
the following result was obtained:
- observed mode $= m_o = \SI{0 \pm 1}{}$
In order to compare the values $m_e$ and $x_0$, the following compatibility
t-test was applied:
$$
p = 1 - \text{erf}\left(\frac{t}{\sqrt{2}}\right)\ \with
t = \frac{|m_e - m_o|}{\sqrt{\sigma_e^2 + \sigma_o^2}}
$$
where $\sigma_e$ and $\sigma_o$ are the absolute errors of $m_e$ and $m_o$
respectively. At 95% confidence level, the values are compatible if $p > 0.05$.
In this case:
$$
p = 0.82
$$
Thus, the observed value is compatible with the expected one.
---
The same approach was taken as regards the FWHM. It is defined as the distance
between the two points at which the function assumes half times the maximum
value. Even in this case, there is not an analytic expression for it, thus it
was computed numerically ad follow.
First, some definitions must be given:
$$
f_{\text{max}} := f(m_e) \et \text{FWHM} = x_{+} - x_{-} \with
f(x_{\pm}) = \frac{f_{\text{max}}}{2}
$$
then the function $f'(x)$ was minimized using the same minimization method
used for finding $m_e$, dividing the range into $[x_\text{min}, m_e]$ and
$[m_e, x_\text{max}]$ (where $x_\text{min}$ and $x_\text{max}$ are the limits
in which the points have been sampled) in order to be able to find both the
minima of the function:
$$
f'(x) = |f(x) - \frac{f_{\text{max}}}{2}|
$$
resulting in:
$$
\text{expected FWHM} = w_e = \SI{4.0186457 \pm 0.0000001}{}
$$
On the other hand, the observed FWHM was computed as the difference between
the center of the bins with the values closer to $\frac{f_{\text{max}}}{2}$
and the error was taken as twice the width of the bins, obtaining:
$$
\text{observed FWHM} = w_o = \SI{4 \pm 2}{}
$$
This two values turn out to be compatible too, with:
$$
p = 0.99
$$